Reprinted with permission from the Financial
Times, July 7, 2002
The recent car bombing outside the US consulate in Karachi confirms the fear
that Pakistan has now become a main target of al-Qaeda and its fellow travellers.
The attack followed last month's car bombing, which killed 11 French naval engineers
in the same city. The incidents were preceded by a suicide bombing at an Islamabad
church in March.
General Pervez Musharraf's spokesmen have tried to link the recent wave of
terrorism to Pakistan's conflict with India. New Delhi and Islamabad routinely
blame each other for terrorist attacks. But such mutual name-calling diverts
attention from action against al-Qaeda-linked groups that have created an underground
network stretching from Kabul in Afghanistan to Kolkata in India. The US helped
pull back the south Asian rivals from the brink of war. It must now press their
leaders into joining forces against the terrorists.
Pakistan's past support for Islamic militants fighting Indian rule in the disputed
Himalayan region of Jammu and Kashmir is an embarrassment Gen Musharraf must
face. The fear of being seen to back Kashmiri militants has led to Pakistani
denials about any al-Qaeda presence in Pakistan. But having made an irreversible
commitment to opposing the extremists, Gen Musharraf no longer needs to deny
that terrorists hiding in its cities pose a threat to Pakistan and the world.
During the anti-Soviet Afghan resistance, militants from all over the Muslim
world passed through Pakistan to participate in the Afghan Jihad. They were,
at the time, supported by the intelligence services of the west as well as Islamic
nations. Some of them created covert networks within Pakistan, taking advantage
of poor law enforcement and the state's sympathetic attitude towards pan-Islamic
militancy. Now that al-Qaeda and the Taliban have been uprooted from Afghanistan,
they are using their former transit station as a temporary staging ground for
terrorist operations.
Gen Musharraf's continuing war against domestic political rivals and the on-
going confrontation with India gives the terrorists an advantage. They have
nothing to protect, only targets to destroy. Gen Musharraf, by contrast, must
safeguard Pakistan's interests in addition to keeping himself in power. Pakistan's
limited resources of state are stretched thin.
It is time Gen Musharraf faced, without hesitation, the domestic and regional
consequences of his decision to reverse Pakistan's 25-year-old involvement with
Jihad and Islamic militancy. The easing of the recent stand-off with India has
given him crucial breathing time. This opportunity should be used to develop
a domestic political consensus and a diplomatic strategy for dealing with India.
All of this would require political skills that Pakistan's military ruler has
not yet displayed. He would have to roll back the jihadi movement, without seeming
to do so on American or Indian orders and without getting an immediate quid
pro quo over Kashmir. He already faces defiance from Pakistan's militants and
religious parties. These groups have become accustomed to state patronage and
look upon Gen Musharraf's avowed policies as a threat to their existence. Gen
Musharraf's success in controlling extremist Islamists depends on support from
mainstream political parties and easing of pressure by India.
The problem so far has been that Gen Musharraf hates Pakistan's politicians
almost as much as he dislikes India. He is loath to compromise with either.
India is aware of Gen Musharraf's problem. That is why it refuses to withdraw
its troops from Pakistan's border - despite the easing of recent tensions. India
wants to use its troops for the non-military purpose of causing economic hardship
for Pakistan in terms of the cost of battle readiness.
Believing as he does in his good luck, Gen Musharraf could be tempted to take
on the militants and Islamist ideologues without cutting a deal with mainstream
politicians at home. He could also try to keep up his anti-India rhetoric at
least in public, which may not go down too well with Hindu nationalist hardliners
on the other side of the border. These hardliners may then seek out ways of
embarrassing him, which would bring India and Pakistan back to rattling sabres
at each other.
India and Pakistan must not ignore the fact that both countries are now equal
targets for terrorists linked to al-Qaeda. The extremist Islamists want war
in south Asia so that they can operate in the region with impunity. To ensure
that India and Pakistan stay focused on fighting global terrorism, the international
community, particularly the US, should encourage these neighbours to overcome
their legacy of mutual distrust. The US should also tell Gen Musharraf to change
his course at home, without which the vulnerability of his regime to extremist
pressure will only increase.
The writer is a visiting scholar at the Carnegie Endowment for International
Peace. He was an adviser to Pakistani prime ministers Nawaz Sharif and Benazir
Bhutto.
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